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Homicide Studies
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Winter Is the Infanticide Season

Seasonal Risk for Child Homicide

Richard Mccleary

University of California, Irvine, mccleary{at}uci.edu

Kenneth S. Y. Chew

University of California, Irvine

This study investigates the circannual pattern of U.S. child homicide rates. Analyses of 23,067 child homicide records extracted from 1976 to 1998 FBI Supplemental Homicide Reports reveal a winter peak for infants and toddlers (age less than 2 years) and a summer peak for primary and middle school children (ages 5 to 14). Logistic regressions find distinct risk factors for the two peaks that support the prevailing developmental risk theory. The risk factors suggest guidelines for a more rational allocation of prevention resources both across the year and among different developmental subpopulations.

Homicide Studies, Vol. 6, No. 3, 228-239 (2002)
DOI: 10.1177/1088767902006003004


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